I really intended to rant, and "rant" has this nice brash, arrogant feel to it. What a shame I'm so able to see both sides. Maybe I should stick to writing about subjects where I'm dead certain to be right in my well informed opinion. Oh well. For now I'll settle for being informed.
Sometimes when an issue goes on seemingly forever without resolution,
there are suspicions about the entrenched interests in the debate, which
is a polite way of saying the big money boys must want different things
and are holding things up until they get what they want. Certainly the
debate over light rail, which was already going when I moved to
Minnesota 25 years ago, makes me wonder if we're watching the shadow
play of battling big wigs. Sometimes though, we have to admit that
issues are unclear and reasonable people can disagree. Too many strong
opinions start with "I like my car, so all that makes sense is whatever
makes it easier for me to drive," or "The bus system is awful, therefore
we need any new transit system, whatever the cost."
The tricky thing about whether the Twin Cities should build light rail is both sides have facts to back them
up. One side says roads are very congested and certain to get worse.
Undeniable. The other says light rail is expensive to start with and
always costs more than projected. Also proven. The first points out that
roads are very expensive, and though most people are unaware of the cost
of roads while driving, also true. It's true that light rail will
require ongoing subsidy, and that the current bus system requires
subsidies anyway, and that roads are subsidized for those who travel
more expensive roads than what their gas taxes paid for.
If all this stuff is true, why can't we just balance the facts and know
precisely what to do? Because we're trying to predict the future, and
that's tough. Whether light rail will work or not depends on whether
driving gets inconvenient enough to make drivers ride, and that
prediction can be thrown by a large change in the number of available
parking spaces, or an unforeseen radical change in the price of gas. Did
anyone predict in the early 80's that gas would cost the same in the
late 90's, and be much cheaper when inflation was figured in? What if
demographic changes mean many fewer people traveling the route where
light rail is going to go, and many more than the system can handle?
There is one glaring question among all the others, one the powers that
be have never addressed: why has no consideration been given to a PRT
(personal rapid transit) system? As much as reasonable people may
disagree, the whole process is tainted when certain options are ignored.
I've heard about PRT from academics, environmentalists, and other
interested in urban transit issues, but never a word from the public
officials who are making the plans and the decisions.
For those unfamiliar with PRT, which is most people thanks to the scant
attention it's received compared to light rail and highways, PRT is
something of a combination of cars and rail travel. The cars would hold
2-4 people. Riders specify their destination when they purchase a
ticket. The car gets the destination, and takes the traveler anywhere
there's a station. The rails would be laid in a grid, probably above
ground, and less obtrusive than light right lines, let alone more
freeways. Stations would be common, and the trip would be fast because
the car stops only at the specified station. The ideal of the system is
riders can go where they want when they want instead of having to figure
out routes and times, and having to get home before the buses stop
running. Meanwhile, there are all the cost advantages of not driving,
plus the convenience of stopping only at the destination. According to
advocates, it would be far cheaper than a light rail system. Of course,
since it hasn't been tried on a large scale yet, there could be lots of
undiscovered bugs.
"Could be" isn't a strong case. Other than it hasn't been tried, what
are the arguments against it? I haven't heard them, because the powers
that be don't have to argue against it. They have to listen to the
people who make money off building highways, and the people who would
make money off light rail, but what special interest stands behind PRT?
All right, now I'm suspicious.